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Activist 13D drift

After an activist files a Schedule 13D, the stock has historically drifted up over the next 5-10 trading days by more than a realistic round-trip cost (verified, gated). The drift decays and reverses by ~21 days, so the window is short. This is a backtested pattern on public filings, dated and descriptive, not a guarantee or advice.

5-day drift, net of cost
+0.15% t 3.7
10-day drift, net of cost
+0.25% t 4.3
By 21 days
-0.49% decays

Verified on 39,620 activist filings, leak-safe and gated (label-shuffle p 0.005). The 5 to 10 day net confidence interval is above zero; by 21 days the drift decays and reverses, so the window is short. This is a backtested pattern on public filings, not a guarantee, and you place any trade yourself.

Recent activist 13D filings

138 filed within the last 10 trading days (still in the drift window). As of 2026-07-29.

TickerActivistIntentFiledDays sinceWindow
PCLAAbout Investment Pte. Ltd-2026-07-281in window
DYNCWBulldog Investors, Llp-2026-07-281in window
EWSBSchmalz Charles D-2026-07-281in window
GIPRWSobelman David-2026-07-281in window
TRSTHoldco Asset Management, Lp-2026-07-281in window
UECUranium Royalty Corp.-2026-07-281in window
BYRNGanz Bryan-2026-07-281in window
EWSBMangold James E-2026-07-281in window
EWSBSchneider Kory J-2026-07-281in window
BENFranklin Bsp Lending Fund-2026-07-281in window
LGLGabelli Marc-2026-07-281in window
IPGPValentin Gapontsev Trust I-2026-07-281in window
PENGPenguin Solutions, Inc.-2026-07-281in window
RACCResearch Alliance Holdings Iii Llc /Caym-2026-07-281in window
WSTNUWestin Investment Co. Ltd.-2026-07-281in window
SLMTBrea Holdings, Llc-2026-07-272in window
WLDSWDaniel Nissim-2026-07-272in window
SMXWWAlon Haggai-2026-07-272in window
RNWWWCanada Pension Plan Investment Board-2026-07-272in window
RNAZCk Life Sciences Intl (Holdings) Inc-2026-07-272in window
KORGWCerberus Telecom Acquisition Holdings, L-2026-07-272in window
SNNUFCevian Capital Ii Gp Ltd-2026-07-272in window
CLGNLoewenbaum Lilian S.-2026-07-272in window
EVGNL.I.A. Pure Capital Ltd-2026-07-272in window
GPUS-PDHyperscale Data, Inc.-2026-07-272in window
RDCMLynrock Lake Lp-2026-07-272in window
NNDMTang Capital Management Llc-2026-07-272in window
RNWWWSinha Sumant-2026-07-272in window
FGMCRTiramani Galiano Paolo-2026-07-243in window
FGMCRTiramani Paolo-2026-07-243in window
KBONUKarbon Capital Partners Core Holdings, L-2026-07-243in window
APMSheinerman Kira-2026-07-243in window
DFNSWShohat Elad-2026-07-243in window
TLSWood John B-2026-07-243in window
APADApeiron Investment Group Ltd.-2026-07-243in window
ATRARedmile Group, Llc-2026-07-243in window
ZEOXBothwell Ian T-2026-07-243in window
GNL-PDBellevue Capital Partners, Llc-2026-07-243in window
GDTCChoo Chee Kong-2026-07-243in window
BENClarion Partners Real Estate Income Fund-2026-07-243in window
GOSSD. E. Shaw & Co, L.P.-2026-07-243in window
SDEVFramework Ventures Iv L.P.-2026-07-243in window
NIUGlory Achievement Fund Ltd-2026-07-243in window
ZEOXGreyt Ventures, Llc-2026-07-243in window
NAASNewlinks Technology Ltd-2026-07-243in window
SDEVR01 Fund Lp-2026-07-243in window
RMTSaba Capital Management, L.P.-2026-07-243in window
HSTCField Michael L-2026-07-234in window
SNESGlenbrook Capital Management-2026-07-234in window
TMCRHess Michael Bernard-2026-07-234in window
ALURWRtw Investments, Lp-2026-07-234in window
ALOTAskeladden Capital Management Llc-2026-07-234in window
BHR-PDAl Shams Investments Ltd-2026-07-234in window
ARTVRa Capital Management, L.P.-2026-07-234in window
BXDIFBrookfield Corp /On/-2026-07-234in window
BXDIFBrookfield Corp /On/-2026-07-234in window
BXDIFBrookfield Corp /On/-2026-07-234in window
BXDIFBrookfield Corp /On/-2026-07-234in window
RNAZCk Life Sciences Intl (Holdings) Inc-2026-07-234in window
NGElectrum Strategic Resources L.P.-2026-07-234in window

This is the opposite of the earnings-drift board: post-earnings drift is real gross but dies on cost at every horizon, so we do not present it as tradeable. The 13D drift is the one event signal that clears cost. Research, not advice.